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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Franceville
Central African Republic national football team

Gabon
2 - 0
CAR

Aubameyang (11' pen.), Babicka (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mafouta (34'), Gambor (84'), Godame (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gabon and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 4-1 Gabon
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gabon 3-1 Central African Republic

 Gabon have won their last two home matches, while Central African Republic are winless in their last four away games – taking these forms into consideration, we expect the home side to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gabon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gabon.

Result
GabonDrawCentral African Republic
71.55% (-0.556 -0.56) 18.79% (0.3 0.3) 9.66% (0.2549 0.25)
Both teams to score 39.19% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (-0.486 -0.49)50.62% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (-0.432 -0.43)72.53% (0.429 0.43)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (-0.303 -0.3)12.85% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.77% (-0.627 -0.63)39.23% (0.626 0.63)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.97% (0.238 0.24)55.02% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.1% (0.144 0.14)87.89% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Gabon 71.54%
    Central African Republic 9.66%
    Draw 18.79%
GabonDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 14.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10.17% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 71.54%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.131 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.59% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Gabon vs CAR

Gabon
75.0%
Draw
4.2%
Central African Republic
20.8%
24
rhs 2.0
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