MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 12:37:38| >> :600:3830661:3830661:
Central African Republic national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
Morocco national football team

CAR
0 - 4
Morocco


Ngoma (15')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ben Seghir (34', 38'), En-Nesyri (50' pen.), Ezzalzouli (66')
Hakimi (41'), Rahimi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Central African Republic and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morocco 5-0 CAR
Saturday, October 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 5-0 CAR
Saturday, October 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Central African Republic 0-3 Morocco

It is difficult to see how Central African Republic can avoid defeat given the strong form of Morocco. It would not be surprising if the hosts once again generated numerous chances and emerged as comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Central African RepublicDrawMorocco
32.39% (-1.576 -1.58) 28.72% (0.214 0.21) 38.89% (1.358 1.36)
Both teams to score 45.31% (-0.883 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (-0.96 -0.96)61.12% (0.955 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.725 -0.72)81.09% (0.72 0.72)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-1.605 -1.61)34.78% (1.602 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-1.731 -1.73)71.51% (1.728 1.73)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (0.343 0.34)30.52% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.407 0.41)66.75% (-0.41 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 32.39%
    Morocco 38.88%
    Draw 28.71%
Central African RepublicDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.61% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 12.59% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.4 0.4)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: CAR vs Morocco

Central African Republic
3.3%
Draw
26.7%
Morocco
70.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Morocco
5-0
CAR
Ezzalzouli (18'), Ounahi (38', 45+2'), Hakimi (45'), Rahimi (70' pen.)
Rahimi (32'), Akhomach (86')

Ngoma (55'), Kondogbia (70')
rhs 2.0
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