CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 4, 2024 at 9pm UK
Paul E. Joseph Stadium
US Virgin Islands3 - 3Bahamas
Henry (27'), Joseph (77'), Catone-Highfield (86')
Harris (34'), Ramos (40'), Bartsch (77')
Harris (34'), Ramos (40'), Bartsch (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
St Fleur (2' pen.), Julmis (37'), Adderley (58')
Bayles (64')
Bayles (64')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Bahamas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-4 Aruba
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-0 Bahamas
Tuesday, June 11 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Tuesday, June 11 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| US Virgin Islands | Draw | Bahamas |
45.1% ( -6.34) | 22.21% ( 0.28) | 32.68% ( 6.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.13% ( 3.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
