CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

FIFA Technical Centre Butwal

Antigua
2 - 2
Bahamas

Parker (54'), Bramble (58')
Drew (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wells (4'), Johnson (81')
Wells (43'), Bayles (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Bahamas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Bahamas 1-4 Antigua
Saturday, October 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Bahamas

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Bahamas 1-4 Antigua
Saturday, October 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Bahamas
46.09% ( 0.85)	25.22% ( -0.57)	28.69% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

2.21)

49.09% (

-2.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

1.96)

71.17% (

-1.96)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

1.32)

21.32% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74% (

1.99)

54.26% (

-1.99)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

0.93)

31.18% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.48% (

1.08)

67.52% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 46.09%

Bahamas 28.69%

Draw 25.22%

Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Bahamas
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.09%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.69%