CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Mar 23, 2023 at 11pm UK

Guadeloupe
0 - 1
Antigua

Gravillon (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nathaniel-George (57')
Bramble (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Antigua and Barbuda

Last Game: Cuba 3-1 Antigua
Sunday, June 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Guadeloupe	Draw	Antigua and Barbuda
57.83% ( 0.33)	22.75% ( -0.13)	19.42% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

0.3)

47.48% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

0.27)

69.69% (

-0.27)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

0.22)

16.14% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

0.4)

45.57% (

-0.39)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47% (

-0.04)

38.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.72% (

-0.04)

75.28% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Guadeloupe 57.83%

Antigua and Barbuda 19.42%

Draw 22.75%

Guadeloupe	Draw	Antigua and Barbuda
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.83%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.75%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.42%