Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antigua and Barbuda would win this match.

Result
Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Guadeloupe
48.04%	24.03%	27.93%

Both teams to score 57.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61%

44.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.24%

66.77%

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4%

18.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.11%

49.89%

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68%

29.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71%

65.29%

Score Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 48.04%

Guadeloupe 27.93%

Draw 24.03%

Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Guadeloupe
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.04%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 6.91% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.93%