CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Sep 9, 2023 at 11pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Bahamas
1 - 6
Puerto Rico

Matthew Rahming (2')
Julmis (20'), Carey (67')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Diaz (6', 89'), Rivera (14'), Burgos (35', 86'), Sulia (42')
Rivera (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bahamas and Puerto Rico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions

Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-1 Bahamas
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Puerto Rico

All competitions

Last Game: Puerto Rico 0-0 Curacao
Tuesday, June 13 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 81.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 5.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.93%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.

Result
Bahamas	Draw	Puerto Rico
5.87% ( -0.11)	12.27% ( -0.27)	81.86% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.56% (

0.92)

34.44% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.64% (

1.03)

56.36% (

-1.03)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.16% (

0.34)

53.84% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.82% (

0.21)

87.18% (

-0.2)

Puerto Rico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.65% (

0.26)

6.35% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.15% (

0.72)

23.85% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Bahamas 5.87%

Puerto Rico 81.85%

Draw 12.27%

Bahamas	Draw	Puerto Rico
1-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.87%	1-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 12.27%	0-2 @ 12.99% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 8.23% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 4.54% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 2.81% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 2.08% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.17% Total : 81.85%