CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Mar 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

British Virgin I.
1 - 3
Puerto Rico

Forbes (36' pen.)
Forbes (19'), Wiltshire (43'), Green (51'), Chalwell (60'), Caesar (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Antonetti (44'), Vega (47'), Silva (90+4')
Sulia (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

Form, Standings, Stats

British Virgin Islands

Last Game: Puerto Rico 6-0 British Virgin I.
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Puerto Rico

Last Game: Puerto Rico 6-0 British Virgin I.
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 92.92%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 1.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.61%) and 0-2 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.57%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.

Result
British Virgin Islands	Draw	Puerto Rico
1.68% ( -0.67)	5.4% ( -1.18)	92.92% ( 1.84)

Both teams to score 33.74% (

-3.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.77% (

1.44)

22.23% (

-1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.79% (

1.94)

41.21% (

-1.94)

British Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.6% (

-4.14)

65.4% (

4.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.83% (

-1.89)

93.17% (

1.89)

Puerto Rico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.49% (

0.45)

2.51% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.25% (

1.64)

11.75% (

-1.64)

Score Analysis

British Virgin Islands 1.68%

Puerto Rico 92.91%

Draw 5.4%

British Virgin Islands	Draw	Puerto Rico
Other @ 1.68% Total : 1.68%	1-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.56) 0-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.4%	0-3 @ 13.68% ( 0.51) 0-4 @ 12.61% ( 1.02) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 9.3% ( 1.13) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.65) 0-6 @ 5.71% ( 0.92) 1-4 @ 5.36% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.78) 1-5 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 0-7 @ 3.01% ( 0.6) 1-6 @ 2.43% ( 0.08) 0-8 @ 1.39% ( 0.33) 1-7 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.26) Other @ 4.12% Total : 92.91%