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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-3 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.87% ( 0.63) | 16.59% ( 0.24) | 69.53% ( -0.87) |
Both teams to score 61.38% ( 0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.04% ( 0.38) | 28.95% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.08% ( 0.47) | 49.92% ( -0.47) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( 1.12) | 33.62% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% ( 1.2) | 70.26% ( -1.21) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.46% ( -0.08) | 7.53% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.99% ( -0.2) | 27.01% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.87% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4.72% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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