MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:03:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Upamecano (18'), Musiala (56', 90+1'), Goretzka (84')
Peretz (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honsak (50'), Dorsch (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Heidenheim

Kompany will expect a strong reaction from his players given the team are winless in their last two, and considering their exceptional home record, it would be surprising if they dropped points again on Saturday. Additionally, Heidenheim are in poor form and have struggled to find the back of the net in recent games, so the hosts should come into the clash as clear favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
82.3% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23) 11.64% (0.151 0.15) 6.06% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.13% (-0.473 -0.47)29.87% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.96% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)51.04% (0.569 0.57)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.63% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)5.37% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.92% (-0.381 -0.38)21.08% (0.378 0.38)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.28% (-0.142 -0.14)49.72% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (-0.097 -0.1)84.46% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.29%
    Heidenheim 6.06%
    Draw 11.64%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 11.12% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 8.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.76% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
7-0 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 82.29%
1-1 @ 5.46% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 11.64%
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.87% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.06%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Heidenheim
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Heidenheim
3-2
Bayern
Sessa (50'), Kleindienst (51', 79')
Gimber (62'), Dinkci (89')
Kane (38'), Gnabry (45')
Tuchel (60')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
4-2
Heidenheim
Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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