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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Bayern logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Bayern

Bynoe-Gittens (27')
Ryerson (71'), Sahin (80'), Beier (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musiala (85')
Sane (88'), Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
42.82% (-2.546 -2.55) 22.36% (0.744 0.74) 34.82% (1.811 1.81)
Both teams to score 67.37% (-2.24 -2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.97% (-3.165 -3.17)33.03% (3.175 3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.25% (-3.732 -3.73)54.76% (3.742 3.74)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (-2.156 -2.16)16.17% (2.165 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (-4.086 -4.09)45.64% (4.096 4.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.583 -0.58)19.64% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (-0.967 -0.97)51.6% (0.976 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 42.82%
    Bayern Munich 34.82%
    Draw 22.36%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.543 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.378 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.722 0.72)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.454 0.45)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.746 0.75)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.539 0.54)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.82%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund
21.9%
Draw
12.5%
Bayern Munich
65.6%
128
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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