Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Both sides are in excellent form, and it would not be surprising if each team created several opportunities in front of goal. However, Mainz's away record is excellent, and they have considerably fewer injuries to contend with, so they should come into the clash as slight favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.05% ( -0.12) | 25.1% ( -0.02) | 33.85% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
