Brasileiro | Gameweek 32

Nov 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Cano (54')
Guga (13'), Marcelo (17'), Ganso (20'), Cano (28'), Martinelli (47'), Alexsander (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Beraldo (9'), Diego (20'), Rafinha (28'), David (60'), Mendes (90+6')
Neves (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Santos 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fluminense 1-1 Sao Paulo

With both teams having gone at least two games unbeaten in the league, this is expected to be a competitive affair. Fluminense can play without pressure courtesy of their Copa Libertadores success, but we feel that Sao Paulo are playing with enough confidence to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Sao Paulo
52.07% ( 0.5)	24.83% ( -0.14)	23.09% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29% (

0.19)

51.71% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.51% (

0.17)

73.49% (

-0.17)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

0.28)

19.84% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

0.45)

51.93% (

-0.45)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

-0.23)

37.24% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98% (

-0.23)

74.02% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 52.07%

Sao Paulo 23.09%

Draw 24.83%

Fluminense	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.07%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.09%