Brasileiro | Gameweek 30

Oct 29, 2023 at 7pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Pablo (7')
Moura (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Maia (10')
Maia (17'), Erison (24'), Mendes (55'), Luciano (68'), Pires (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 3-2 America Mineiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, October 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Sao Paulo
48.34% ( 0.2)	26.01% ( -0.01)	25.65% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

-0.1)

54.16% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

-0.08)

75.57% (

0.08)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

0.05)

22.42% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

0.07)

55.95% (

-0.07)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

-0.21)

36.29% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

-0.22)

73.08% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 48.33%

Sao Paulo 25.65%

Draw 26.01%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.33%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 25.65%