World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Philippines0 - 5Iraq
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Philippines 0-2 Iraq
While Philippines will be desperate to get their qualifying campaign on track, they face the stern challenge of taking on a significantly superior and more experienced Iraq side. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two nations, we are tipping Garcia's men to come away with a comfortable victory on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Philippines win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philippines | Draw | Iraq |
30.63% ( -0.02) | 27.65% ( 0) | 41.72% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
