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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
2 - 2
Napoli

Isaksen (6'), Dia (87')
Zaccagni (79'), Rovella (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raspadori (13'), Marusic (64' og.)
Zambo Anguissa (35'), Jesus (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 5-1 Monza
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Napoli

Expect a late twist, as these teams have earned the most points from goals scored after the 75th minute so far this season. As their visitors' new bogey team, Lazio might make it three from three, ending Napoli's nine-game unbeaten streak and denting Antonio Conte's title dreams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
36.2% (0.18 0.18) 26.63% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 37.16% (-0.252 -0.25)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (-0.274 -0.27)52.87% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (-0.234 -0.23)74.48% (0.227 0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)63.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)27.53% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.355 -0.35)63.04% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 36.2%
    Napoli 37.16%
    Draw 26.63%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.2%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.16%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
43.7%
Draw
21.5%
Napoli
34.8%
135
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Napoli
0-1
Lazio

McTominay (46'), Rrahmani (51')
Isaksen (79')
Dia (19'), Guendouzi (45+1'), Castellanos (62')
Dec 5, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
3-1
Napoli
Noslin (32', 41', 50')
Zaccagni (57'), Hysaj (80')
Simeone (36')
Marin (26'), Neres (84')
Jan 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515


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