Inverness2 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1-2 Kilmarnock
Inverness have had to rely upon the administrative errors of their opponents to even make it this far in a cup run, which may well come to an end this Friday if Kilmarnock can fend off their travel sickness to win the club's first Scottish Cup quarter-final since 1997. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
42.85% ( -0.06) | 26.13% ( 0) | 31.02% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.02) | 51.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( 0.01) | 73.57% ( -0.01) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( -0.02) | 23.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.76% ( -0.03) | 58.24% ( 0.04) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.05) | 30.91% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( 0.06) | 67.2% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.02% |
How you voted: Inverness vs Kilmarnock
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2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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