Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
52.86% ( 0.05) | 24.69% ( -0.01) | 22.45% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% ( -0.01) | 51.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( -0.01) | 73.53% ( 0.01) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( 0.02) | 19.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.03) | 51.45% ( -0.03) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( -0.05) | 37.88% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( -0.05) | 74.65% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |