Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
26.34% | 25.25% | 48.41% |
Both teams to score 52.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% | 50.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% | 72.62% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% | 33.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% | 70.53% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% | 20.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% | 53.72% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.34% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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