Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon1 - 0Aberdeen
Reaction
Derek McInnes: 'Aberdeen youngsters will learn from Sporting Lisbon defeat'
The Dons featured five players aged 23 and under in their 1-0 Europa League loss.
4 years ago
Derek McInnes praises "excellent" Aberdeen following Sporting defeat
The Dons tumbled out of the Europa League with a 1-0 defeat.
4 years ago
The Match
Match Report
Derek McInnes' team missed out on a home tie against LASK to reach the group stage.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 52.72% | 21.71% | 25.56% |
| Both teams to score 63.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% | 35.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% | 57.47% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% | 13.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.16% | 40.84% |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% | 26.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.52% | 61.48% |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 52.73%
Aberdeen 25.56%
Draw 21.71%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.94% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 1.42% 1-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.56% |
Form Guide
Build-up
Derek McInnes urges players to focus on Sporting Lisbon clash
Aberdeen will be without Scotland defender Scott McKenna who has signed for Nottingham Forest.
4 years ago
Aberdeen boss Derek McInnes braced for "tough game" against Sporting Lisbon
Sporting have lost nine players to positive Covid-19 tests and manager Ruben Amorim will also miss the game because he is self-isolating.
4 years ago
