Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
