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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Boavista

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Boavista

Costa (64' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Malheiro (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Boavista

This match promises to be a closely-fought affair, with both sides desperate for the three points. Gil Vicente's home advantage might be a factor that tilts this match in their favour but Boavista have also got a new man in charge, which could count for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawBoavista
41.42% (-0.07 -0.07) 25.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 33.54% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.02% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (0.114 0.11)46.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.108 0.11)68.65% (-0.111 -0.11)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.32% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.8% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (0.10799999999999 0.11)26.59% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (0.143 0.14)61.81% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 41.42%
    Boavista 33.54%
    Draw 25.05%
Gil VicenteDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.42%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.54%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Boavista

Gil Vicente
60.9%
Draw
26.1%
Boavista
13.0%
23
Head to Head
May 12, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Gil Vicente
3-1
Boavista
Navarro (38', 64'), Costa (85' pen.)
Perez (55')
Jan 8, 2023 8.30pm
Jan 15, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 18
Boavista
1-1
Gil Vicente
Makouta (4')
Porozo (88'), De Santis (90+2'), Cannon (90+3')
Lino (67')
Carvalho (85'), Talocha (90+3')
Aug 9, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Gil Vicente
3-0
Boavista
Jose Navarro Aliaga (3', 56'), Lino (24')
Aouacheria (63'), Pedrinho (69'), Bueno (79')

Sauer (53'), Perez (79'), Porozo (82')
May 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Gil Vicente
1-2
Boavista
Lino (36' pen.)
Goncalves (11'), Fernandes (90+4')
Silva (90+4')
Njie (56', 88')
Cid (71'), De Santis (80'), Njie (89')
De Santis (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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