Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
We said: Arouca 2-1 Gil Vicente
While both sides have been far from impressive this season, it is difficult to make much of a case for the visitors, who have not earned a single point on the road this season and have not won an away match since March.
Arouca showed real fighting spirit to come back from two goals down against Rio Ave last week, and we feel they can follow that up with another positive result in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.86% . A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.09%) . The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result Arouca Draw Gil Vicente 36.76% ( -0.03) 25.37% ( 0) 37.86% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.43% ( -0.01)
52.63% ( -0.02) 47.37% ( 0.02)
30.41% ( -0.02) 69.58% ( 0.01)
74.82% ( -0.03) 25.18% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.09% ( -0.04) 59.9% ( 0.03)
75.42% ( 0.01) 24.58% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.93% ( 0.01) 59.07% ( -0.01)
Arouca 36.76%
Gil Vicente 37.86%
Draw 25.36%
Arouca Draw Gil Vicente 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.76% 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.86%
How you voted: Arouca vs Gil Vicente
22
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Ireland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: England vs. Japan - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Scotland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Wales vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Italy vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Basketball Stories
Preview: Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzlies - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors - prediction, team news, form guide