Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense2 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
We said: SC Farense 3-1 Arouca
Farense have been involved in some high-scoring encounters of late, and this fixture has produced goals, with 14 in the three previous meetings. When the two sides met in the second tier in 2018-19, the scores ended 2-2 and 3-3, but with Arouca woefully out of form, they may come up short here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Arouca |
34.42% ( 1.19) | 26.48% ( 0.31) | 39.1% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
