Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 2Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AVS 1-2 Arouca
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-0 Chaves
Arouca ended their concerning winless run in the League Cup in the week, and last term's fifth-placed team will be confident of recording another success against basement dwellers Chaves this Sunday. The Flavienses only just managed to earn a last-gasp draw at home to a newly-promoted side last time out, and we believe they will be unable to repeat the trick in Arouca this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Chaves |
37.98% ( -1.29) | 26.68% ( -0.23) | 35.33% ( 1.53) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
