Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
33.82% | 25.85% | 40.33% |
Both teams to score 54.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.16% | 49.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.16% | 71.83% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% | 28.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% | 63.75% |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% | 58.81% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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