Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 67.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Wealdstone |
67.14% ( -0.24) | 18.59% ( 0.08) | 14.26% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.92% ( -0.06) | 38.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.65% ( -0.06) | 60.36% ( 0.06) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.54% ( -0.07) | 10.47% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.92% ( -0.17) | 34.09% ( 0.17) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.87% ( 0.18) | 39.14% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.15% ( 0.16) | 75.85% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.6% Total : 67.14% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 26 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
22 | Fylde | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
> National League Full Table |