Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.