Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
43.05% ( -0.45) | 23.81% ( -0.13) | 33.13% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.28% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( 0.83) | 40.76% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( 0.84) | 63.14% ( -0.84) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( 0.15) | 19.21% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( 0.24) | 50.91% ( -0.25) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( 0.73) | 24.15% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.54% ( 1.03) | 58.46% ( -1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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