Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.