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National League | Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lner Community Stadium

York City
0 - 1
Dorking


Amos (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blair (85')
Craig (37'), Carter (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 0-1 York City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-3 Halifax
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League

We said: York City 2-1 Dorking Wanderers

With just two points separating the two sides in the National League table, we expect Tuesday's encounter to be a close-fought contest. While fine margins should decide the fixture, we think that York will do enough to claim all three points against a Dorking side that has lost five of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawDorking Wanderers
46.41% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.18% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)70.34% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)20.8% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)53.46% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (0.046999999999997 0.05)67.05% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.4%
    Dorking Wanderers 28.6%
    Draw 24.99%
York CityDrawDorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dorking
2-2
York City
McShane (17'), Prior (85')
McShane (28')
Kouhyar (58'), Akinyemi (72')
Batty (12')
John-Lewis (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
York City
2-1
Dorking
Duku (7'), Fallowfield (56')
Gallagher (86')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet24154550292149
2York City23146347202748
3Forest Green RoversForest Green23138241192247
4Gateshead24145549311847
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale22123734201439
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2411584336738
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
10Yeovil TownYeovil2410593027335
11Eastleigh238963230233
12Sutton UnitedSutton249693332133
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool248972929033
14Southend UnitedSouthend247982827130
15Tamworth238692639-1330
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red237793733428
17Woking2467112335-1225
18Aldershot TownAldershot2459103442-824
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2465132335-1223
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2465133046-1623
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2416171758-419


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