Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
