Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montreal Impact would win this match.