Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 2-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.