Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.