Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.