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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Clermont Foot

Brest
3 - 0
Clermont

Del Castillo (20' pen., 51'), Pereira Lage (34')
Locko (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oumar Konate (19'), Zeffane (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Clermont

Fatigue could be a factor for the visitors, who will only have a few days to rest before this encounter, while missing two key players through suspension will not help. Brest have been a little more consistent and sharper in the attacking third than their weekend opponents, and we expect them to find a breakthrough and cruise from there. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawClermont
39.88% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33) 26.81% (0.669 0.67) 33.31% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-2.217 -2.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-2.798 -2.8)53.92% (2.798 2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (-2.4 -2.4)75.37% (2.4 2.4)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-1.458 -1.46)26.49% (1.458 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-1.977 -1.98)61.68% (1.978 1.98)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-1.604 -1.6)30.43% (1.605 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-1.95 -1.95)66.63% (1.952 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Brest 39.87%
    Clermont 33.31%
    Draw 26.81%
BrestDrawClermont
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.707 0.71)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.845 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.615 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Brest vs Clermont

Brest
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Clermont
10.0%
20
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Brest
2-1
Clermont
Honorat (45'), Mounie (48')
Brassier (90+2'), Camara (90+1'), Mounie (90+5')
Borges (43')
Seidu (57'), Gastien (90+1'), Wieteska (90+5'), Caufriez (90+2')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 12
Clermont
1-3
Brest
Allevinah (88')
Del Castillo (14' pen.), Honorat (53'), Le Douaron (67')
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Brest
2-0
Clermont
Brassier (60'), Mounie (62')
Belaili (30'), Said (90+1')
Del Castillo (22')

Ogier (28'), N'Simba (45+1')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Clermont
1-1
Brest
Rashani (65')
Rashani (19')
Gastien (50')
Chardonnet (52')
Agoume (32')
Mar 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 30
Brest
0-0
Clermont
Bernard (23'), Weber (74')
Soares (52'), Gastien (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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