Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Clermont |
37.36% ( -0.09) | 27.35% ( 0.03) | 35.29% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.76% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2% ( -0.1) | 55.8% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( -0.09) | 76.93% ( 0.09) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% ( -0.1) | 28.83% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% ( -0.13) | 64.68% ( 0.13) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( -0.01) | 30.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( -0.01) | 66.23% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |