Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
41.79% ( 0.54) | 26.15% ( 0.04) | 32.06% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% ( -0.32) | 51.55% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( -0.28) | 73.35% ( 0.28) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( 0.13) | 24.42% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( 0.19) | 58.84% ( -0.19) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -0.55) | 30.07% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.79% ( -0.66) | 66.2% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |