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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Northampton Town |
26.88% ( -0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.02) | 46.13% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% ( 0.06) | 57.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% ( 0.05) | 77.92% ( -0.04) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.17% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.02) | 73.62% ( -0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.04) | 24.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( 0.05) | 59.23% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |