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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Rochdale |
59.32% ( 0.61) | 23.94% ( -0.29) | 16.74% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 43.45% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.19% ( 0.56) | 55.81% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( 0.45) | 76.93% ( -0.45) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.44) | 18.61% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% ( 0.74) | 49.91% ( -0.74) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.39% ( -0.09) | 46.61% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.81% ( -0.07) | 82.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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