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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
32.71% ( 4.68) | 28.37% ( 0.54) | 38.92% ( -5.22) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.12% ( -0.46) | 59.88% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.85% ( -0.35) | 80.14% ( 0.35) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.11% ( 3.29) | 33.89% ( -3.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% ( 3.4) | 70.56% ( -3.4) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.11% ( -3.11) | 29.89% ( 3.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.01% ( -3.93) | 65.99% ( 3.92) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -1.26) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.82) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |