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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Cheltenham Town

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Bowman (50')
Bowman (3'), Anderson (13'), Kenneh (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (45+3'), Hammond (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Cheltenham Town

 Cheltenham Town may have finished lower than their opponents last season in the league, but they have been putting in strong performances throughout pre-season so far. Shrewsbury Town did put together an impressive run at home in the 2022-23 campaign, and that should lead to this being a closely contested match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
27.53% (-2.594 -2.59) 25.27% (-0.58 -0.58) 47.21% (3.173 3.17)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (1.025 1.03)49.97% (-1.027 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.907 0.91)71.96% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-1.394 -1.39)32.52% (1.391 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-1.596 -1.6)69.05% (1.594 1.59)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (1.883 1.88)21.18% (-1.884 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94% (2.842 2.84)54.06% (-2.843 -2.84)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 27.53%
    Cheltenham Town 47.21%
    Draw 25.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.641 -0.64)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.544 -0.54)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.572 0.57)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.414 0.41)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.515 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.254 0.25)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.28 0.28)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 47.21%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham

Shrewsbury Town
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
25.0%
8
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Bennett (23')
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Harrad (32')
Akpa-Akpro (20')
Lawrence (18'), Goldson (89')
rhs 2.0
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1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
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