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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Blackpool

Northampton
0 - 1
Blackpool


Sowerby (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Blackpool

Blackpool need to win to stay in touch with the playoffs, but they have only managed to triumph in five of their 18 away league fixtures this term, while Northampton have lost just five times at home. We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday evening and are finding it difficult to separate them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBlackpool
29.74% (-0.758 -0.76) 26.13% (-0.268 -0.27) 44.13% (1.023 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.442 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (0.748 0.75)52.32% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (0.641 0.64)74.02% (-0.645 -0.64)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)32.09% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (-0.181 -0.18)68.56% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.828 0.83)23.6% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (1.185 1.19)57.67% (-1.189 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 29.74%
    Blackpool 44.13%
    Draw 26.12%
Northampton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.74%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.096 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: Northampton vs Blackpool

Northampton Town
43.3%
Draw
26.7%
Blackpool
30.0%
30
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Blackpool
1-2
Northampton
Rhodes (65')
Bowie (31'), Hoskins (75')
Bowie (31'), Brady (32'), Odimayo (34'), Hoskins (64'), Sowerby (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
0-3
Blackpool

Kioso (45+6'), Edmondson (67')
Garbutt (19'), Yates (75', 86')
Husband (54')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Blackpool
2-0
Northampton
Ekpiteta (12'), Yates (90+2')

Chukwuemeka (68'), McWilliams (78'), Morris (89'), Mills (90+5')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 28, 2017 2pm
Northampton
1-0
Blackpool
Hoskins (20')
Grimes (66'), Poole (80')

Cooke (59'), Tilt (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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