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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Carlisle United

Blackpool
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Carlisle United

Barring that loss to Portsmouth last time out, Blackpool have found a bit of form of late and will fancy their chances of earning another three points here against an opponent that are winless in their last four. The Seasiders will also know that a victory could take them as high as the top six, which will be exactly where they want to be heading into the busy festive period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
48.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.03%26.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)53.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)69.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 48.24%
    Carlisle United 26.72%
    Draw 25.02%
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.72%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Carlisle

Blackpool
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Carlisle
Parker (29'), Murphy (5' og.)
Barker (30'), Evans (74')
Hawley (73')
Lumsdon (45'), McDermott (49'), Raven (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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