Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.3% ( 0.09) | 21.94% ( 0.21) | 59.76% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% ( -0.77) | 45.64% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% ( -0.73) | 67.96% ( 0.73) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.3% ( -0.35) | 38.7% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.56% ( -0.33) | 75.44% ( 0.33) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.13% ( -0.35) | 14.87% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.79% ( -0.67) | 43.21% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |