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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Atletico Madrid logo

Elche
1 - 0
Atletico

Fidel (41')
Fidel (30'), Blanco (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 5-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-3 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have arguably been the best La Liga team since the turn of the year, and they will be looking to finish the season strongly with a view to claiming second. Elche are now playing under no pressure, which should help them, but we are struggling to predict anything other than a comfortable away success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
18.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 21.94% (0.211 0.21) 59.76% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)45.64% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.733 -0.73)67.96% (0.735 0.73)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-0.347 -0.35)38.7% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (-0.334 -0.33)75.44% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (-0.348 -0.35)14.87% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (-0.669 -0.67)43.21% (0.669 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Elche 18.3%
    Atletico Madrid 59.75%
    Draw 21.94%
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 4.94% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 18.3%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 10.45% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.75%

How you voted: Elche vs Atletico

Elche
16.3%
Draw
2.0%
Atletico Madrid
81.6%
49
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 15
Atletico
2-0
Elche
Felix (56'), Morata (74')

Gonzalo (45+1')
May 11, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 36
Elche
0-2
Atletico

Milla (7'), Bigas (40')
Cunha (28'), De Paul (62')
Lodi (35'), Kondogbia (90+3')
Aug 22, 2021 6.30pm
gameweek 2
Atletico
1-0
Elche
Correa (39')
Suarez (90'), Kondogbia (90+5')

Gonzalo (65'), Benedetto (87')
May 1, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 34
Elche
0-1
Atletico

Milla (69'), Boye (75'), Barragan (76')
Llorente (23')
Lemar (36'), Carrasco (41')
Dec 19, 2020 1pm
gameweek 14
Atletico
3-1
Elche
Suarez (41', 58'), Costa (80' pen.)
Hermoso (40')
Boye (64')
Gonzalo (14'), Marcone (79'), Almiron (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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