Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gozo Stadium
Floriana3 - 1Tre Penne
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Floriana and Tre Penne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floriana win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floriana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Floriana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Floriana | Draw | Tre Penne |
43.41% ( -0.03) | 24.68% ( 0.01) | 31.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.05) | 45.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.05) | 67.57% ( 0.05) |
| Floriana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.04) | 20.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.06) | 53.63% ( 0.05) |
| Tre Penne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.01) | 27.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.59% ( -0.02) | 62.4% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Floriana 43.41%
Tre Penne 31.9%
Draw 24.68%
| Floriana | Draw | Tre Penne |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.9% |
Form Guide
