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Champions League
Champions League | Preliminary Round Semi-Finals
Jun 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kopavogsvollur

Tre Penne
1 - 7
Breidablik

Barretta (31')
Scarponi (21'), Ceccaroli (35'), Tamagnini (88')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Gunnlaugsson (6', 89'), Hlynsson (25', 90+2'), Olsen (45+2'), Ingi Sigurdarson (67'), Karl Einarsson (74')
Stefansson (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Tre Penne and Breidablik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tre Penne

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Last Game: Tuzla City 6-0 Tre Penne
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Breidablik

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Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Breidablik
Thursday, August 11 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Tre Penne 1-4 Breidablik

 Although Breidablik's recent results have not matched their form when winning the 2022 domestic title, their greater depth of experience will come to the fore on Tuesday. Tre Penne are routinely swept aside on the European stage and will have to make do with a place in the Conference League qualifiers on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Breidablik would win this match.

Result
Tre PenneDrawBreidablik
16.16% (0.459 0.46) 21.54% (0.026 0.03) 62.3% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.91800000000001 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (0.698 0.7)47.49% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (0.641 0.64)69.7% (-0.648 -0.65)
Tre Penne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (1.027 1.03)42.39% (-1.034 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (0.869 0.87)78.77% (-0.876 -0.88)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.070999999999998 0.07)14.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (0.142 0.14)42.83% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Tre Penne 16.16%
    Breidablik 62.28%
    Draw 21.53%
Tre PenneDrawBreidablik
1-0 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 4.4% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 2.29% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 16.16%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 11.93% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 11.45% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 7.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 6.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-4 @ 3.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.049 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 62.28%

How you voted: Tre Penne vs Breidablik

Tre Penne
30.6%
Draw
8.3%
Breidablik
61.1%
36
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
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