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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
78.92% ( 0.05) | 12.75% ( -0.1) | 8.33% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.13% ( 0.78) | 25.87% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.96% ( 0.99) | 46.05% ( -0.99) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.84% ( 0.16) | 5.17% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.53% ( 0.48) | 20.47% ( -0.48) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% ( 0.75) | 40.62% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.67) | 77.21% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 5.69% Total : 78.92% | 1-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 8.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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