Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion
Heracles2 - 4Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Volendam
Saturday, January 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, January 21 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 21 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heracles 0-3 Ajax
Ajax have rekindled their form and seem unstoppable at the moment. They are the clear favourites in this tie and look likely to extend their unbeaten run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
25.55% ( 0.73) | 19.71% ( 0.18) | 54.74% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 71.33% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
